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Bullshitting Rationalization

There's a particular kind of political backpedaling that's become almost performance art in the digital age: the next-day denial of yesterday's clearly recorded statement. Secretary of State Marco Rubio just gave us a masterclass.

On one day, Rubio explained that the U.S. needed to strike first because Israel was planning to attack Iran, which would trigger retaliation against American forces. The next day, he called it "false" to say he'd made that exact argument.

The problem? Both statements exist on video. Side by side. Less than 24 hours apart.

This isn't a case of statements taken out of context or words twisted through creative editing. This is a straightforward contradiction where the evidence is unambiguous and immediately accessible. It's the political equivalent of denying you ate the cookies while still chewing.

What makes this particularly noteworthy isn't just the reversal—politicians change positions all the time, sometimes for legitimate reasons. It's the explicit denial that the first position was ever stated. This crosses from "evolving on an issue" into "denying observable reality."

The implications here extend beyond typical political spin. When a Secretary of State provides a rationale for military action, then denies providing that rationale the following day, it raises questions about either the honesty of the explanation or the coherence of the decision-making process. Neither option is reassuring.

The next-day timing of the contradiction is striking.

This is where the "post-truth" conversation becomes concrete rather than abstract. We're not debating interpretations of ambiguous language or weighing competing evidence. We're watching someone deny saying something they provably said, betting that the denial will travel as far as the original statement.

By my estimate, Marco Rubio knows better, but now, modeling his boss, he doesn't care about the truth value of what he's saying. He's "bullshitting" (Frankfurt, 1986).

Bullshitting is, at minimum socially corrosive and immoral.


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Nobody Tells Us What to Do

President Trump recently declared that Spain has been "terrible" and claimed the U.S. could simply "fly in and use" Spanish military bases regardless of Spain's objections. Can a world superpower actually just do whatever it wants on foreign soil?

The short answer is no — not without consequences that would fundamentally undermine the international order that has, for all its flaws, prevented great power conflicts for nearly 80 years.

The "we could just fly in" rhetoric sounds bold, but consider what it actually proposes: violating Spanish airspace and territory without permission. That's not asserting American strength; it's describing an act of aggression against a NATO ally. Spain isn't some failed state unable to defend its sovereignty — it's a democracy of 48 million people with its own military and the full backing of the NATO alliance, which includes mutual defense obligations under Article 5.

The practical reality is telling. Modern military operations depend on intricate logistics, host-nation support, and diplomatic coordination. You can't just "fly in" to a foreign military base and operate effectively without fuel contracts, maintenance agreements, overflight permissions, customs arrangements, and status-of-forces agreements. What Trump describes isn't operational planning — it's a fantasy that ignores how military power actually functions.

Trump's complaint seems to be that Spain said we "can't use their bases." But that's literally how agreements work when relations sour — either party can withdraw. If the U.S. wants permanent, unquestioned access to bases in foreign countries, there's actually a word for that arrangement. It's called empire, and we supposedly rejected that model.

No one benefits from a world where powerful countries can simply ignore sovereignty when convenient — least of all Americans, whose security depends on a web of alliances, agreements, and mutual obligations that only function when all parties believe the rules apply to everyone.

Even superpowers need to land with permission.


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Military Command, Religious Prophecy

A claim is circulating on social media: commanders at over 30 U.S. military bases allegedly told troops that potential conflict with Iran is part of "God's plan," with at least one commander reportedly describing Trump as "anointed by Jesus to light the signal fire in Iran to cause Armageddon."

The source cited is the Military Religious Freedom Foundation, an organization that advocates for separation of church and state in the armed forces. If true, this represents a profound violation of military professionalism and constitutional principles. If false or exaggerated, it's a dangerous piece of misinformation that could undermine trust in military leadership.

So what do we actually know?

First, the evidence. The tweet provides a screenshot but no direct sourcing, no names of bases, no documentation, and no verification beyond attribution to MRFF.

The Military Religious Freedom Foundation, led by Mikey Weinstein, does legitimate advocacy work and has documented real cases of religious overreach in the military. But they've also been accused of exaggeration and sensationalism by critics.

Framing military action as fulfilling apocalyptic prophecy isn't strategic doctrine—it would be dangerous extremism that has no place in command.

But if this claim is significantly exaggerated or based on isolated incidents inflated into a systematic pattern, that's also a problem. Misinformation that portrays the U.S. military as dominated by apocalyptic Christian nationalism—without solid evidence—serves no one's interests except those who benefit from polarization and panic.

The U.S. military has real problems with religious overreach in some contexts—that's documented.

Let us ask the uncomfortable question: How do we know this is true? Because the integrity of our public discourse depends on that question mattering more than whether the claim confirms what we already suspect.


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